Climate change and the USA
UNITED NATIONS (AP) - Chicago and Los Angeles will likely to face increasing heat waves. Severe storm surges could hit New York and Boston. And cities that rely on melting snow for water may run into serious shortages.
These are some of the findings about North America in a report by hundreds of scientists that try to explain how global warming is changing life on Earth. The scientists with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released a summary of their findings on global warming last Friday and outlined details of the report focusing on various regions on Tuesday.
According to the panel, global warming is already having an effect on daily life but when the Earth gets a few degrees hotter, the current inconvenience could give way to danger and even death.
And North America will not escape the impact of climate change, and the impact will be felt from Florida and Texas to Alaska and Canada's Northwest Territories, the panel said.
"Canada and the United States are, despite being strong economies with the financial power to cope, facing many of the same impacts that are projected for the rest of the world," Achim Steiner, executive director of the U.N. Environment Program which co-founded the panel, said in a statement.
He said the findings underline that the best way to reduce the effects of global warming is "deep and decisive cuts in greenhouse gas emissions to avoid dangerous climate change in the first place."
The panel warned that shifts in rainfall patterns, melting glaciers, rising temperatures, increased demand and reduced supplies of water in some places are likely to increase tensions between users - industry, agriculture and a growing population.
"Heavily-utilized water systems of the western U.S. and Canada, such as the Columbia River, that rely on capturing snowmelt runoff, will be especially vulnerable," the report said.
A temperature warming of a few degrees by the 2040s is likely to sharply reduce summer flows, at a time of rising demand, it said.
By then, the panel estimated that Portland, Oregon, will require over 26 million additional cubic meters of water as a result of climate change and population growth, but the Columbia River's summer supply will have dropped by an estimated 5 million cubic meters.
Meanwhile, it said, just over 40 percent of the water supply to southern California is likely to be vulnerable by the 2020s due to losses of the Sierra Nevada and Colorado River basin snow packs.
The panel also said "lower levels in the Great Lakes are likely to influence many sectors" and exacerbate controversies over diverting water to cities such as Chicago, and the competing demands of water quality, lake-based transport, and drought mitigation.
Cities could also be at risk from high tides and storm surges, it said.
Near the end of the 21st century, under a strong warming scenario, the New York City area could be hit by increasingly damaging floods from surges, "putting much of the region's infrastructure at risk," the panel said.
Boston's transportation network may also be at risk from a sea level rise and the increased probability of a powerful storm surge, it said.
As for the impact of rising temperatures, the panel said a 25 percent increase in heat waves is projected for Chicago later this century, while the number of heat-wave days in Los Angeles is projected to increase from the current 12 per year to between 44 and nearly 100.
By the mid-21st century, regions in Alaska and Canada's Northwestern Territories are likely to be at "moderate to high risk" due to coastal erosion and thawing of permafrost including the report said.
North American producers of wood and timber could suffer losses of between $1 billion and $2 billion a year during the 21st century if climate change also sparks changes in diseases, insect attacks and forest fires, the panel said.
These are some of the findings about North America in a report by hundreds of scientists that try to explain how global warming is changing life on Earth. The scientists with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released a summary of their findings on global warming last Friday and outlined details of the report focusing on various regions on Tuesday.
According to the panel, global warming is already having an effect on daily life but when the Earth gets a few degrees hotter, the current inconvenience could give way to danger and even death.
And North America will not escape the impact of climate change, and the impact will be felt from Florida and Texas to Alaska and Canada's Northwest Territories, the panel said.
"Canada and the United States are, despite being strong economies with the financial power to cope, facing many of the same impacts that are projected for the rest of the world," Achim Steiner, executive director of the U.N. Environment Program which co-founded the panel, said in a statement.
He said the findings underline that the best way to reduce the effects of global warming is "deep and decisive cuts in greenhouse gas emissions to avoid dangerous climate change in the first place."
The panel warned that shifts in rainfall patterns, melting glaciers, rising temperatures, increased demand and reduced supplies of water in some places are likely to increase tensions between users - industry, agriculture and a growing population.
"Heavily-utilized water systems of the western U.S. and Canada, such as the Columbia River, that rely on capturing snowmelt runoff, will be especially vulnerable," the report said.
A temperature warming of a few degrees by the 2040s is likely to sharply reduce summer flows, at a time of rising demand, it said.
By then, the panel estimated that Portland, Oregon, will require over 26 million additional cubic meters of water as a result of climate change and population growth, but the Columbia River's summer supply will have dropped by an estimated 5 million cubic meters.
Meanwhile, it said, just over 40 percent of the water supply to southern California is likely to be vulnerable by the 2020s due to losses of the Sierra Nevada and Colorado River basin snow packs.
The panel also said "lower levels in the Great Lakes are likely to influence many sectors" and exacerbate controversies over diverting water to cities such as Chicago, and the competing demands of water quality, lake-based transport, and drought mitigation.
Cities could also be at risk from high tides and storm surges, it said.
Near the end of the 21st century, under a strong warming scenario, the New York City area could be hit by increasingly damaging floods from surges, "putting much of the region's infrastructure at risk," the panel said.
Boston's transportation network may also be at risk from a sea level rise and the increased probability of a powerful storm surge, it said.
As for the impact of rising temperatures, the panel said a 25 percent increase in heat waves is projected for Chicago later this century, while the number of heat-wave days in Los Angeles is projected to increase from the current 12 per year to between 44 and nearly 100.
By the mid-21st century, regions in Alaska and Canada's Northwestern Territories are likely to be at "moderate to high risk" due to coastal erosion and thawing of permafrost including the report said.
North American producers of wood and timber could suffer losses of between $1 billion and $2 billion a year during the 21st century if climate change also sparks changes in diseases, insect attacks and forest fires, the panel said.
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"Climate change" is the pc form of "Global warming".
It is smoke and mirrors.
D.0 -
I heard a report a few days ago that said the earth hasnt warmed any in the last 9 years. 0 -
So basically, with the rising tides and storm surges, New Orleans will be submerged most of the summer, yes? 0 -
Maybe if we go back to life in the Middle Ages everything will be ok. 0 -
Well with the warming we will need to burn less fossil fuel to heat our homes thus reversing the effect eventually. Yes? LOL 0 -
Bring it on!! We just had the coldest March on record here. April ain't so good either, it's been snowing. Dave 0 -
Yea!! me to, sick of freezing my azz off, frekin snow every other day and cold every night,global warming my azz[}:)]
quote:Originally posted by use enough gun
Bring it on!! We just had the coldest March on record here. April ain't so good either, it's been snowing. Dave0 -
Alledan -
I guess I sort of confused here. Just what are you saying?
Global warming and cooling isn't exactly something new to this earth. Percentages of CO2 and O2 (along with other gasses) have varied dramatically since the beginning.
As to recent history (the last 7500 years) it strikes me as strange that our climatologists and archaeologists don't get together a bit more often. I believe that it's generally accepted that the earth came out of an ice age about 10,000 years ago. With a mile of ice covering Canada and the northern fringes of the US, along with parts of Europe and Asia, I could see where sea levels might have been much lower than today. So what I don't understand is why a 4000 year old city like Troy was found over a mile inland and well above today's sea level. And Troy is by no means unique!
Would it not be fair to say that our planet undergoes constant change? Would it not be reasonable to conclude that climate changes, sea levels change, and the environment changes on a fairly regular basis?
While I'd agree that mankind should act in a responsible manner, I have a distinct feeling that we're giving ourselves too much credit if we think that we're more than a footnote in the process of world change.
Seas will continue to rise and fall. Erosion will happen. Volcanoes will continue. Deserts will expand and shrink as will glaciers. It'll be warmer for a time, then cooler. Change is the norm, not the lack of change.
What won't happen is what mankind desires most and understands the least... Change won't take place on our schedule. Rather, it will take place at whatever pace Mother Nature selects and we'll play such a small part as to be insignificant. Best we should understand that we play by nature's rules and be prepared for what will come. Best we accept that mankind is a mere pimple on earth's face and that we don't run the show.0 -
NORD
A+0 -
quote:Originally posted by dakotashooter2
NORD
A+
Yep, Nord nailed it.0 -
+ global warming is almost completely a political tool used by anti capitalitalists to attack the US. they never seem to be attacking china, do they? 0 -
watched a debate between newt and kerry last night. They integrated china and india as place that need to change as we change too. Global warming climate change what ever you call it i really dont mind. Is it happening maybe maybe not. If it is we should become more efficent. If not what are we out. 0 -
quote:Originally posted by Cameroon
Maybe if we go back to life in the Middle Ages everything will be ok.
Yeah that is what the Moslims think too. Oh, wait, they never left.0 -
Check this out. Its real scientists, not politicians.
Get a drink and a chair. Its a little over an hour but worth it.
http://www.brightcove.com/title.jsp?title=626993303&channel=795583110 -
Amazingly, we are also messing with Mars.
But then again are not Spirit and Opportunity two of the greenest vehicles ever produced?
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/02/070228-mars-warming.html
On a serious note, one cannot with any credibility, suggest that the National Geographic is being influenced by those evil right-wing junk science Republicans.0 -
quote:Originally posted by Doug Wilson
"Climate change" is the pc form of "Global warming".
It is smoke and mirrors.
D.
global warming is real, the controversy lies in whether we caused it or not.
At any rate, even if humans are responsible, it is too late to make changes to stop it so we must have contingency plans to respond to teh changes themselves. (ie. beefing up power grids since more AC use will be a necessity; contingencies to transport water to areas which will experience shortages, etc.)
One interesting idea I've heard is to convert the old single-hull tankers to water tankers. They are all slated for the scrap heap since international agreements dictate that oil tankers must be double hulled to prevent spills.0 -
It wasn't so many years ago that it was hard to find 4 voices on this board who would tolerate the slightest suggestion that GW might not make the best president.
I wonder how many years before the norm around here is quiet acceptance of what the science has been telling us for five years now?
Saying it ain't so don't make it not so.0 -
Spurge -
The difference being what or whom is causing the change, not whether there is change. Man remains a minor player at best.0 -
quote:Originally posted by tsavo303
+ global warming is almost completely a political tool used by anti capitalitalists to attack the US. they never seem to be attacking china, do they?
exactly0 -
quote:Originally posted by nord
Spurge -
The difference being what or whom is causing the change, not whether there is change. Man remains a minor player at best.
I'll grant you that the 'what or who is responsible' question is less well established than the 'is it happening' question. Even so, the bulk of the evidence points compellingly to human activities.0 -
Here's a fair breakdown of how many times we have swung back and forth from the scientific opinion that we were either going to freeze or boil since 1895. All of it supported, of course, by the media as being the only real "truth".
http://www.businessandmedia.org/specialreports/2006/fireandice/fireandice.asp0 -
We have had Global Warming since the Ice Age. Don 0 -
See even "green" vehicles will destroy a planet. Just two of them little rascals are causing global warming on Mars. Lets get rid of all cars. Ride horses....no, wait have to deforest to feed horses and the methane thing.....kill horses and eat them......no, meat bad.....eat grass.....no, methane thing again....smoke grass....no burning causes greenhouse gases...make brownies, yeah man brownies! Ya want some? Wow, things are cool now....just found the answer to global warming man. 0
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