Hurricane Dorian -thread
8/29/19 9:00PM est:
I live in Orlando & it looks like this one is going to hit Florida with intensity.
I am on vacation this week and was heading north for a USPSA match @6:15AM pulled into a gas station and it was crowded- had to wait a minute for gas as everyone was filling up. Really wanted to shoot but decided I better get the house in Order.
My generator- this had been in storage since December when I moved and oddly I had procrastinated and planned to go through it this week- get it out of the garage and take a look at it -the gas tank is full of rust. Spend a few hours trying to find a path forward on the generator with no luck.
If the choices are stay or go- I have 3 boys and a wife to think about. However- I have been traveling For work and I haven?t been in the office for 6 weeks and next week would make it 7 if I left town. Not ideal.
I live A little West of Orlando- I am about 40 miles from the coast as the crow flies. Important factor if we should take a direct hit.
I will almost certainly lose power & my office will almost certainly remain open.
With my generator down I decided to keep the family in Orlando a few miles farther West and take the family to a resort. It is rated for a Cat5 storm and has generators to keep it running.
I am covered on food and gas & other essentials.
Everything with an engine has a full tank & we have water & food reserves.
I?ll keep y?all posted & yeah- bad on me for not having the generator up & running- but Im playing the Hand I?ve been dealt now.
5 day forecast:

I live in Orlando & it looks like this one is going to hit Florida with intensity.
I am on vacation this week and was heading north for a USPSA match @6:15AM pulled into a gas station and it was crowded- had to wait a minute for gas as everyone was filling up. Really wanted to shoot but decided I better get the house in Order.
My generator- this had been in storage since December when I moved and oddly I had procrastinated and planned to go through it this week- get it out of the garage and take a look at it -the gas tank is full of rust. Spend a few hours trying to find a path forward on the generator with no luck.
If the choices are stay or go- I have 3 boys and a wife to think about. However- I have been traveling For work and I haven?t been in the office for 6 weeks and next week would make it 7 if I left town. Not ideal.
I live A little West of Orlando- I am about 40 miles from the coast as the crow flies. Important factor if we should take a direct hit.
I will almost certainly lose power & my office will almost certainly remain open.
With my generator down I decided to keep the family in Orlando a few miles farther West and take the family to a resort. It is rated for a Cat5 storm and has generators to keep it running.
I am covered on food and gas & other essentials.
Everything with an engine has a full tank & we have water & food reserves.
I?ll keep y?all posted & yeah- bad on me for not having the generator up & running- but Im playing the Hand I?ve been dealt now.
5 day forecast:

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Mandatory Evacuation starting at noon tomorrow in Charleston SC, I 26 will do lane reversal toward Columbia. 0 -
Day 4 -storm is very strong. My house is as ready as it will be. I checked into a room at a local Orlando resort -they are built to take a Cat5 hit & have their own backup generators.
Storm is clocking sustained 185mph winds.

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these guys are saying 225 MPH winds
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7417607/South-Carolina-orders-evacuation-MILLION-people-coastline-Dorian-barrels-US.html
does that make it a Cat5-E?0 -
The worst hurricane that I ever recall was Typhoon Karen that hit Guam in '62. Karen destroyed 95% of the structures on the Island, and leveled the forests from one end to the other, laid over cyclone fences bending the metal postings almost level with the ground. Fortunately, no more than 11 people lost their lives due to an early warning. Experts in the know have been unable to estimate the windspeed of that super typhoon since every anemometer on the Island was blown out, ever now and again they up the estimated sustained wind and its gusts from that bad hurricane. Right now Hurricane Dorian is right up there with the latest wind speed estimates that Karen had...185 & 225 mph. Karen also had a barometric pressure of 894 which is likely too high and wrong as well. Get away from the coast! 0 -
I cannot believe we pay good money for these predictions!
I predict Dorian may or may not make landfall. I predict Dorian may or may not intensify. I predict Dorian may or may not dump a lot of rain on the east coast. I predict Dorian may or may not travel offshore, up the east coast.
Now, send me my check.
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Weather forecasters and fortune tellers are one-in-the-S A M E :shock:
Simply tell me where Dorian 'IS' :!: NOT where you think its gonna be :idea:0 -
bustedknee wrote:I cannot believe we pay good money for these predictions!
I predict Dorian may or may not make landfall. I predict Dorian may or may not intensify. I predict Dorian may or may not dump a lot of rain on the east coast. I predict Dorian may or may not travel offshore, up the east coast.
Now, send me my check.
This same group of government funded "scientists" also predict the polar ice caps are melting, cow farts are causing green house gases, the ozone layer is shrinking, and coastal areas will flood because of "climate change".........0 -
How many billions were spent by the people of Florida due to the impending disaster forecast of the National Weather Bureau and promoted by the dire words in the news broadcasts?
A disaster than did NOT occur and no apology from the weather bureau when asked by a reporter.
I have been to Florida twice in the late fall (Octorber) and no desire to ever return to the hot, super humid place.
Local government will make the building codes more stringent and it will cost the citizens more money in the years ahead.
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