Prediction for November
The (R) Elite scum will lose the house and senate to the (D) Marxists and Trump will be POTUS. The voters are SICK TO DEATH of congress, Obama and the morass of corruption in DC. Heads are going to roll, WE LIVE IN INTERESTING TIMES.
Incumbents are going to get slaughtered; I hope my congresscritter, Bill Johnson (R) OH 6th loses his job. The guy is a freaking traitor. I would vote for Saul Alinsky for his seat to get rid of him as sweet revenge.
Incumbents are going to get slaughtered; I hope my congresscritter, Bill Johnson (R) OH 6th loses his job. The guy is a freaking traitor. I would vote for Saul Alinsky for his seat to get rid of him as sweet revenge.
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Fox News poll released last night has Trump ahead by 3 points.
I think Clinton bounces back once Bernie is silenced, but Trump is in striking distance.0 -
quote:Originally posted by Rack Ops
Fox News poll released last night has Trump ahead by 3 points.
I think Clinton bounces back once Bernie is silenced, but Trump is in striking distance.
I don't think you can pay much attention to the "general " polls.
CBS has Clinton +6 and Rasmussen has Trump +5.
You have to look at individual states since it is necessary to win the State for its electoral votes.
5/19 NJ Clinton +7
5/18 NH Clinton +2
5/17 AZ Trump +4
5/10 FL Clinton +1
5/10 OH Trump +4
etc, most of these are within the margin of error.0 -
quote:Originally posted by cce1302
It's very simple. If you don't hold your nose and vote for someone you don't want elected, then someone you don't vote for that you don't want elected will be elected. So be sure to vote for someone you don't want elected so you keep someone you don't want elected from being elected.
This argument is only valid on a State by State case. We are talking Presidential election where the goal is to get 1 more vote than your opponents to get all the electoral votes for that State. Trump should carry Texas handily by at least 15% (that is 65/35) 1 or 100 more votes in Texas won't help in CA or NY. Getting the most votes nationwide means nothing, ask Gore.0 -
quote:Originally posted by casper1947
quote:Originally posted by cce1302
It's very simple. If you don't hold your nose and vote for someone you don't want elected, then someone you don't vote for that you don't want elected will be elected. So be sure to vote for someone you don't want elected so you keep someone you don't want elected from being elected.
This argument is only valid on a State by State case. We are talking Presidential election where the goal is to get 1 more vote than your opponents to get all the electoral votes for that State. Trump should carry Texas handily by at least 15% (that is 65/35) 1 or 100 more votes in Texas won't help in CA or NY. Getting the most votes nationwide means nothing, ask Gore.
I can't believe there are people using this argument on any level. It's absurd from the outset.0 -
quote:Originally posted by casper1947
quote:Originally posted by Rack Ops
Fox News poll released last night has Trump ahead by 3 points.
I think Clinton bounces back once Bernie is silenced, but Trump is in striking distance.
I don't think you can pay much attention to the "general " polls.
CBS has Clinton +6 and Rasmussen has Trump +5.
You have to look at individual states since it is necessary to win the State for its electoral votes.
5/19 NJ Clinton +7
5/18 NH Clinton +2
5/17 AZ Trump +4
5/10 FL Clinton +1
5/10 OH Trump +4
etc, most of these are within the margin of error.
A "general" poll is just that.....something quick to look at to see a general trend.
The whole point is that the conventional wisdom has been that Trump is going to get crushed in both the electoral and popular vote...and in very early polling, he's got a legitimate shot.
It's a difficult electoral road to navigate, but if he brings certain states into play......who knows what can happen.0 -
To get back ON topic.
IF Trump wins I think incumbents will do well. When we talk of incumbents getting slaughtered we are actually talking about ALL current Republicans in Congress. I don't see any indication the Democrats are sick of Democrats in Congress.
As for Bill Johnson (R) OH 6th I did a little looking. He has a Freedomworks score of 57% lifetime. That does suck, but it is still better than ANY Democrat in the House. I can't see replacing him with a Democrat as an upgrade. He won 2 years ago by 20% and was unopposed in this year's primary.
If it is important that Trump beats Hillary it is equally important that the Republicans retain control of the Senate (confirmations) AND the House (ending the ACA, building the "Wall"). Democrats controlling either will stop Trump dead in his tracks.0 -
i hope al sharpton has his one way ticket to anywhere but this country 0 -
Personally I think we are being lied to about the polls. All the pools were wrong the last election. They are just trying to influence our vote. About 75% of what we hear is a lie in my opinion. 0 -
quote:Originally posted by CaptFun
quote:Originally posted by bpost
Incumbents are going to get slaughtered;
I get 4 negative mail pieces everyday from both my incumbent State Senator and our Congressman. Loudermilk swore up and down he would not vote for Boehner as speaker.... First thing he did was vote for Boehner. He's Fired.
Brandon Beach is another one. Our district is 90% (RED) in a rural county 10% North Fulton (ie Very Rich liberal dirtbags BLUE) All his money and attention go to his liberal "friends" in Fulton. He sends at least one or 2 Negative mail pieces a day bashing his competition. Last cycle he beat one of our LGS owners in a close race after the LGS owner had resigned his State House Seat to run for State Senate... Beach has done nothing for our County and only whored up with his construction buddies to push MARTA into both Cobb and Cherokee. We voted three times on this. We DO NOT WANT MARTA up here.... I'm going to look into how he voted on this latest BS consruction debacle that has had 575 and 75 stopped for 2 yrs.
Brandon Beach... You're FIRED...
Keep up the fight. We fought MARTA in Clayton County for almost 30 years. When MARTA finally won it took less than 10 years for Clayton County to be turned into a crime-ridden ghetto. It still amazes me how quickly quiet, clean, suburban neighborhoods were destroyed by blacks and the slime balls they vote into office.0 -
The Democratic Convention will look like a battle of 25 fat women fighting for a fresh two pack of Twinkies. 35-50% chance Hillary wont even be there. My only concern is that Joe Biden will sneak in and attempt to blow up the process. Mix that with the stupidity of the American people it looks like this:
Hillary vs. Trump= Trump big win
Sanders vs Trump= Trump in a squeaker
Biden/Sanders vs Trump= toss up.(slight edge to Democrats[:(]0
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