Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance
A mathematician friend of mine who works as an actuary for a health insurance company, posted this article on LinkedIn. It's a great read about what should be happening now and what will need to happen just down the road over the next 18 months.
What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time
Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance
What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time
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Quote from article "Do you notice something weird about this list of countries? Outside of China and Iran, which have suffered massive, undeniable outbreaks, and Brazil and Malaysia, every single country in this list is among the wealthiest in the world.
Do you think this virus targets rich countries? Or is it more likely that rich countries are better able to identify the virus?"
I would think poorer countries had a lot less people traveling to or from also.
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Wow, I only got halfway through. That's heavy reading for this time of day. The only person that can dispute what an actuary says is another actuary. Seems South Korea did it right. 0 -
Money and free time have gotten more people in trouble than any other vices. 0 -
Al Gore's hockey stick prediction comes to mind.
Anything is possible. Actuarial tables are useful when all of the inputs are known, but are speculation when, well when the inputs are speculation.
Some things are obvious. Crowded living conditions, extensive use of public transportation, an aging population are three things that can be almost surely assumed to be conducive to widespread infection. After that we are guessing to a large degree.
Outbreaks in the US are largely associated with close living quarters and irresponsible behavior over the past month by people who knew better, but chose to place themselves and those around them in danger. A semi-normal life is possible today were all of us to be personally responsible for our proximity to people and thoughtfully addressing that which may expose us or others.
We are being told by our 'betters' that because we have not acted responsibly, government must mandate and enforce responsibility upon us. This is true in some areas, with NYC being the poster child for such behavior, though it happens throughout the country. Conversely, there are areas in the country where people are behaving in a responsible manner, yet under pressure from external forces, local and state governments are being coerced to adopt restrictions that are not necessary simply because of the behavior of people outside of their jurisdictions.
This is big government and peer pressure run amok, IMO. The end result of this is that while the human toll is tragic, the toll being levied against the spirit of freedom, individuality and the Federalist nature of national vs. state powers is far greater and presents a much greater danger to the American experiment than does the virus. If the lunacy continues much longer, it may be necessary to begin organizing 2 meter marches in cities around the country whereby responsible citizens demonstrate by marching through state capitals and county seats maintaining 6 feet between marchers.
Common sense dictates that we take individual actions to minimize the potential for infection and spreading of the virus. Common sense also dictates that at some point, the power of government over the individual needs to be addressed such that those who occupy the seats of power know that while we may give them a panic pass today, we will not tolerate such foolishness forever.0 -
New Orleans is the next domino to fall, The Mardi Gras is why. Eat drink and be merry to the end?serf
Health experts say it's no surprise that New Orleans is the center of the coronavirus crisis in hard-hit Louisiana after over a million people flocked to the city to celebrate Carnival for more than a month, culminating in Mardi Gras at the end of February.
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